
Number 82, June 2006
IEA GHG Activities
29th Executive Meeting and Forum
The 29th meeting of the IEA GHG Executive Committee
was held in Buenos Aries, Argentina in April 2006, the first time
the committee had met in South America. The hosts for the meetingwere
Repsol YPF. Repsol YPF is one of the major international oil and
gas companies, operating in more than 28 countries and the market
leader in Spain and Argentina. It is the largest private energy
company in Latin America in terms of assets. For more information
visit www.repsolypf.com.
Buenos Aries itself has a population of 11 million inhabitants.
It is situated on the east side of Argentina next to Río
de la Plata (river). The city is considered to be one of the most
attractive metropolis cities in Latin America. Buenos Aries is
also famous for the dance, the tango; the history behind this
famous dance can be found at www.totango.net

La Plaza 25 de Mayo sits in front of La Casa
Rosada (the Pink House) - the government buildings. This plaza
is a central meeting place for many porteños (people of
Buenos Aires)
Two days of the meeting were focused on the work achieved by IEA
GHG since the last meeting and the discussion of plans and activities
for the future. Formal business included the acceptance of new
members. Vattenfall and E.ON were now formally approved, intentions
for membership by Babcock &Wilcox and Schlumberger were agreed
and Austria announced its intention to join.
Following the Executive Committee meeting IEA GHG and Repsol hosted
a one day Forum. The forums can be used as a means of communicating
activities underway in member countries or used to bring Governments
and other interested parties in their respective countries up
to speed on international developments in greenhouse gas mitigation.
In this case, the forum served as a show case for Repsol YPFs
activities in CCS and served also as an opportunity for members
to discuss issues related to CCS inclusion under the Clean Development
Mechanism.

The Chairman of the IEA GHG Executive Committee,
Kelly Thamimuthu, welcomes Sven Olov Ericson of Vattenfall (left),
and Tim Hill of E.ON (centre) as new members of the Programme.
Dario Gomez from Comision Nacional De Energia Atomica of Argentina
provided an overview of a study that had been commissioned by
Repsol YPF looking at the costs of capture on power plants in
Argentina. The installed capacity in Argentina in 2003 was 22.8GW,
the majority of this power is supplied by hydro or natural gas
fired CCGT. Annual emissions are ~25 Mt/y CO2
from around 40 large sources. There is a good match between emission
sources and prospective sedimentary basins in the west of the
country close to the Andean range, but around Buenos Aries, where
many emission sources lie there is a poor match. Two cost estimates
were undertaken for a recently installed 600 MW CCGT plant in
North-western Argentina and for a small (2x37MW( gas fired power
plant) in Patagonia (southern Argentina) were developed. Costs
indicate that capture would not be considered economic at the
smaller scale.
Jaime Martin Juez of Repsol YPF outlined their policy climate
change. Repsol YPF supports the Kyoto Protocol and in 2003 set
up its own Climate Change Unit to respond to it. Repsol is concerned
about trading because it views CO2 as
a non standard commodity with a number of risks associated with
it, such as market volatility and concerns over the long term
price. Repsol YPF considers refineries to be more difficult to
include in a trading regime than a power plant. Refineries operate
in a narrow window and tend not to have inventories. Also, other
factors like market/political pressure in the EU to produce low
sulphur fuels are driving up CO2 emissions
because the process of sulphur removal is more energy intensive.
Repsol YPF is planning several CDM projects in Latin America but
these will initially be internal projects to reduce the risk.
Repsol YPF view South America as a big market for CDM.
Following the Repsol YPF presentation, Harry Audus from IEA GHG
outlined the current status of CCS and the issues that arose regarding
CCS inclusion under CDM at the COP/MOP in November 2005 and outlined
the actions IEA GHG were proposing to take, which are discussed
in more detail in a following meeting report. John Gale outlined
the situation regarding permanence. Based on industry statistics
we can expect incidents to occur resulting in small short term
fugitive emissions of CO2 from pipelines
and surface facilities. Such emissions would be quantified and
reported under the countries national inventories where they occurred.
Based on the limited information currently available they was
no evidence to suggest that CO2 injected into a geological formation
would not be permanently stored. Therefore there was no justification
to consider temporary certified emissions reductions (CERs) for
CCS under CDM.
CCS and CDM – a tale of two workshops
Last year a methodology and project design document
(PDD) for a Carbon Dioxide Capture and Storage (CCS) with enhanced
oil recovery (EOR) was submitted under the Clean Development Mechanism
(CDM) by Mitsubishi UFJ Securities. This was the first time that
a CCS project had been put forward under the CDM. The CDM Executive
Board referred the application to the MOP for guidance. Input
requested from interested parties has subsequently been submitted
to a 13th February 2006 deadline and will be considered by the
Subsidiary Body for Scientific and Technical Advice (SBSTA). In
particular permanence, project boundary and leakage were raised
as key issues. IEA GHG has participated in an ad hoc group set
up by the UK DTI which has advised on how CCS might be incorporated
into the European Trading System (EU ETS). A combined submission
from interested parties in Europe was formulated and sent in through
the International Emissions Trading Association (IETA).
The methodology and PDD along with a second methodology for a
saline aquifer storage project, which was submitted early this
year, have now been posted on the UNFCCC site and comments invited.
The comment deadline is now past. However further responses from
the CDM Board or panels are not expected until further guidance
has been received. The SBSTA are holding a meeting in Bonn, mid
May 2006, at which the issues of how CCS should be handled in
relation to CDM will be addressed. This will include an in-session
workshop on the subject. SBSTA will give advice on the matter
to the next Meeting of the Parties in Nairobi in November 2006.
In the mean time IEA GHG sounded out major oil companies and other
organisations with interest in CCS projects under the CDM and
found significant interest in coming together to consider how
best to address the main issues. Accordingly a 1½ day workshop
was organised in London on 19th/20th April. The workshop was attended
by 30 participants including major companies with possible CCS/CDM
projects in their portfolios, designated operating entities (DOEs)
and other interested organisations.
Presentations were given by several of those participants who
are actively working on CCS projects which might be eligible under
the CDM. This was followed by explanations of 2 Greenhouse Issues
- June 2006 The chairman of the IEA GHG Executive Committee, Kelly
Thambimuthu, with vice-chairman Sven Olov Ericson (left), and
Tim Hill of E.ON (centre) being welcomed as a new member. the
CDM submission process. The participants then went on to examine
each of themain issues for CCS-CDM projects which were Permanence,
Project boundary, Leakage (CDM definition), Additionality, Baseline,
Monitoring, Accidental releases and Insurance. The extent of concurrence
on how these issues should be treated was gauged and substantial
agreement found. On this basis the participants agreed to work
together to ensure a common approach to development of CCS-CDM
methodologies and Project Design Documents. A key point was agreement
with the principle that storage sites should be selected using
stringent appraisal techniques on the basis that by design there
should then be no future seepage of CO2
from the underground. Another key point of agreement was that
incremental oil or gas from enhanced production did not constitute
a “leakage” from such a project. The equivalent fossil
energy would be produced by other means elsewhere in the absence
of the project. Also such production is not a GHG emission and
some of the subsequent emissions would be accounted for elsewhere
in the National emission inventories of signatories to the Protocol.
A password protected working space has been established on the
IEA GHG website for the new CCS-CDM working group at which all
members of the group can view the material presented and other
relevant documentation. Subsequent to the meeting a contract has
been placed with Environmental Resources Management (ERM) for
development of guidelines in support of methodology development.
OPEC, which sent a representative, has kindly offered to host
a follow up workshop in Vienna. The exact dates for this have
yet to be set.
Meanwhile in Paris, starting one day, later a parallel workshop
was organised by METI/AIST addressing a wider audience of interested
parties. Introductions to CCS and outlines of the plans for first
CCS-CDM projects to be submitted were covered on the first day.
The key issues of permanence etc were discussed on the second
day with a presentation of the findings from the London workshop
helping to set the scene. Other issues of importance which are
put forward by some as reasons not to encourage CCS-CDM projects
are the production of incremental oil when storage is combined
with Enhanced Oil Recovery and sustainability because CCS causes
an increase in fossil fuel consumption and dependence.
Anyone interested in joining the CCS-CDM working group should
contact Mike Haines at IEA GHG mike@ieaghg.org.
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Well Bore Integrity II
The second meeting of the international research
network on well bore integrity was held in April 2006. The meeting
was hosted by Princeton University with the impressive Princeton
campus proving the backdrop for the meeting.
The meeting was well attended by 58 delegates. The purpose of
the meeting was to try and identify the big questions that need
to be answered and develop a plan to address them. The meeting
was structured to provide both presentations from industry and
academic specialists and provide time for detailed discussion
of the problems.

Alexander Hall built in 1894 containing the
Richardson Auditorium which is Princeton University’s premiere
performance venue and also venue for many official University
ceremonies
The first series of presentations focused on studies that had
been completed to date on well bore integrity. The studies were
mainly historical and considered wells that had not seen CO2
but were mainly oil and gas production wells. The work showed
that there was a high incidence of well failure, major causes
of which were poor cement completions and steel casing corrosion
leading to casing pressure problems. These issues are recognized
by the industry and API is developing new guidelines to reduce
casing pressure problems.
Laboratory studies indicated that exposure to
CO2 rapidly reduces the integrity of
Portland cements. Samples of cement exposed to CO2
from wells at SACROC showed similar but not as extensive deterioration
of the cement integrity. Further work is needed to resolve the
disparity between laboratory and field experiments. Schlumberger
presented the results of their laboratory experiments on a CO2
resistant cement which showed no physical deterioration after
exposure to CO2.
Princeton reported the work they were doing on the development
of a coupled geochemical transport model to predict well bore
failure. Also they reviewed the issues that need to be considered
when up-scaling any modeling work and how you might approach well
bore failure modeling on a field scale.
Breakouts groups focused on the experiments that would need to
be undertaken in the field to help develop an understanding of
well bore failure that could lead to the development/calibration
of a model. Several groups are planning field experiments likeWeyburn
and CCPII and their plans were discussed by the group. It is expected
that the breakout group feed back will assist in the planning
of these experiments. The results from which will be brought back
to the network in due course.
The next meeting of the network will be held at Los Alamos National
Laboratory, New Mexico, USA in Spring 2007. A report on the work
shop will be posted on the web site: www.co2captureandstorage.info.
The site contains details of all the international research networks
that IEA GHG is currently operating. For further information contact
Sian Twinning at IEA GHG sian@ieaghg.org
Greenhouse Issues - June 2006
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New Reports by the IEA
GHG Programme
The public summary, glossy reports produced by
IEA GHG in the past have proved popular with our members and a
more general scientific audience. In the last year, IEA GHG has
embarked on a process of rejuvenating its portfolio of glossy
reports removing old titles from circulation and producing new
reports to replace them. Three new reports are now available which
are outlined below.
Phase 4 Summary Report

IEA GHG came into existence in 1991 as a cost
shared implementing agreement operating under the aegis of the
International Energy Agency. Since that time the programmes activities
have been undertaken in time periods, agreed with its members,
which are referred to as phases. Since inception there have been
four phases, the last of which, Phase 4 lasted from November 2001
to November 2005. At the end of its fourth phase of operation
in November 2005 IEA GHG had been in existence for 13 years. A
report has been produced which summarises the progress and achievements
made by IEA GHG during Phase 4.
The key achievements were as follows:
- Some 37 technical studies were completed covering both technical
and non technical issues related to greenhouse gas emission
reduction.
- 5 new international research networks were established covering
both key issues relating to CO2 capture
and storage and the non-CO2 gases.
These networks provide a vehicle for researchers in specific
fields to meet and work closely together on areas of common
interest
- IEA GHG expanded its Practical R&D activities by becoming
involved in monitoring projects at large scale CCS demonstration
(SACS/CO2STORE) and Weyburn) as well as pilot injection trials
(RECOPOL) and, studies on natural CO2
occurrences (NASCENT).
- The GHGT conference series was successfully extended and
expanded. Two further GHGT conferences were held, GHGT-6 in
Kyoto, Japan and GHGT-7 in Vancouver Canada. GHGT-7 was the
largest conference to date with over 670 attendees from 35
countries. The production of a peer reviewed journal volume
of papers as well as proceedings started at GHGT-6 and was
continued at GHGT-7.
Over the time period of Phase 4 IEA GHG has,
therefore, continued to act as a primary source of informed knowledge
on all areas of greenhouse gas reduction as well as expanding
its activities into practical research and research networks.
The IEA GHG Weyburn CO2
Monitoring and Storage Project
IEA GHG assisted in the establishment of the
Weyburn CO2 Monitoring and Storage Project
by helping to organize, with the Petroleum Technology Research
Centre (PTRC) and University of Regina, the inaugural meeting
held in Regina, Canada in September 1999. The project has been
managed by PTRC in coordination with ENCANA, the Weyburn oil field
operator. IEA GHG supported the technical programme of the project
and hence has allowed its name to be used in the project title.
A summary report on the achievements of the first phase of this
major international action to monitor injected CO2
in a depleted oil field has been prepared by PTRC and IEA GHG.
The main results from the first phase can be
summarised as follows:
-
The geological setting of the Weyburn oil
pool is considered to be highly suitable for the secure long-term
storage of CO2.
-
The project demonstrated the ability of
seismic and geochemical sampling methods to monitor physical
and chemical changes in theWeyburn reservoir induced by CO2
injection. Both methods can also determine the distribution
of CO2 within the reservoir.
-
The storage capacity of the Weyburn field
was estimated in at 45 Mt CO2. Of
this, 50% would be stored in solution and the bulk of the
remainder (49%) would be stored by mineralogical trapping
mechanisms.
-
Numerical simulations showed that over
5000 years essentially 100% of the injected CO2
would remain stored underground. It is expected that after
5000 years all the injected CO2 will
have dissolved in the reservoir precluding any future risk.
-
Risk assessment modeling showed that CO2
will never reach or penetrate overlying saline water zones,
nor will it reach either potable water zones closer to the
surface or the ground surface above the storage reservoir.
Well Greenhouse Issues - June 2006 5 bore could be a source
of seepage but can usually be repaired by using understood
techniques that are already available to the industry.
In summary, the project found that geological
settings such as the Weyburn oil field appear to be highly suitable
for the long-term storage of CO2. This
shows that by careful site selection we can ensure that injected
CO2 will be permanently stored. The project
is now moving into its final phase (Greenhouse Issues number 81),
which plans to build upon the excellent work from the first phase
and thus we can expect to see further results from this project
over the next four years.
Natural Releases of CO2

This report summarises a recent study that was
undertaken by eminent geologists from the UK and Japan for IEA
GHG (Report No 2005/8). The study investigated in detail natural
releases of CO2 that have occurred, in
particular notable large releases like the Mount Dieng incident
in Indonesia 1979 and the Lakes Monoun and Nyos incidents in Cameroon,
West Africa in 1984 and 1986 respectively. The study showed that
these events all occurred in volcanically active regions and the
emissions that occurred were the result of fairly exceptional
geological situations.
In the case of Mount Dieng,which is an active volcano, CO2
gas from the degassing of molten rock, or magma, was felt to have
built up in a void or magma chamber below the ground surface.
The CO2 was then released as a precursor
to the volcanic eruption that occurred some time later. In the
cases of Lake Nyos and Monoun, these are both tropical crater
lakes at considerable elevation that are actively filling with
CO2 due to volcanic activity and do not
seasonally overturn. Another characteristic of such lakes are
their steep vertical sides. As a result of these factors, the
CO2 becomes concentrated in the water
in the lake bottom. The CO2 can them
be released by some geological trigger such as a land slide or
earth tremor resulting in a large gas emission which can flow
out of the crater via a spill way and hug the valley floor as
it descends. The heavier than air CO2
cloud can then asphyxiate animals and humans in the valley as
occurred at Lake Nyos and Monoun andMount Dieng. It is worth noting
that there are only some 20-30 examples of crater lakes worldwide,
only three of which are CO2 charged,
all of which are in Cameroon - again a fairly unique feature.
As far as geological storage is concerned, it is not planned to
inject CO2 for storage purposes into
volcanically active regions. Rather the intent is the use of stable
sedimentary basins that have held oil and gas for millions of
years instead. There are also many examples of natural accumulations
of CO2 in sedimentary basins where the
CO2 has been contained for millions of
years. It must be noted that there are instances where natural
accumulations of CO2 also seep. However,
the study has indicated that there are no recorded incidents of
large emissions of CO2 in sedimentary
basins and the small seeps that do occur only cause very localized
environmental damage.
Overall, the study concludes that there is no direct geological
comparison between events like Lake Nyos/Monoun or Mount Dieng
with man made geological storage sites. Studies of natural accumulations
of CO2 have indicated those geological
features that need to be avoided when selecting geological storage
sites for CO2. If geological storage
sites are carefully selected it can be assured that the injected
CO2 will be permanently stored for thousands
of years.
Copies of these reports can be obtained by contacting the IEA
GHG (mail@ieaghg.org) or downloaded from our web site.
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World Scale CO2
Plan from Statoil and Shell
By Olav Kårstad
On March 8th this year the two energy companies
Statoil and Shell launched their ground breaking plan for an integrated
electricity- and CO2-value chain in Norway.
The plan aims to store CO2 from a large
natural gas fired power plant (for climate change reasons) underground,
while at the same time achieving increased oil recovery and electricity
supply to large industrial consumers.
The starting point for this project is industrial
and the potential gains are considerable:
-
Facilitating the development and enhancement
of industry in Mid-Norway
-
Helping to reduce existing, and limit new,
CO2 emissions
-
Developing valuable expertise and technology
in a new and important industrial area for Norway
-
Ensuring a new and stable energy supply
for a region with an increasing energy shortage.
Shell and Statoil are two able industry and technology
players with long experience of working with CO2
and both have an aggressive approach to sustainable development.
The focal point of the CO2 value chain
is the new, approx. 700 MW (net after CO2-capture)
natural gas fired power plant located at the Statoil operated
methanol plant at Tjeldbergodden. The electricity from this plant
will be utilised for both 6 Greenhouse Issues - June 2006 onshore
and offshore petroleum industry users as well as for general end
user consumption in the Mid-Norway region. The CO2
itself is planned used for enhanced oil recovery at the Shell
operated Draugen field and later at the Statoil operated Heidrun
field.

An illustration of the Shell-Statoil Mid-Norway
project with electricity generation, CO2-capture, CO2 for enhanced
oil recovery and offshore electrification of oil platforms from
land.
The capture facility will remove up to 2.5 million tonnes of CO2
per year (including a possible 0.3 million tonnes from existing
methanol plant). This amount is equivalent to about 5% of Norwegian
emissions. Offshore oil and gas installations with energy supplies
from land will reduce their CO2 and nitrogen
oxide (NOx) emissions to almost zero.
In Norway there is already a substantial CO2-tax
and a NOx-tax will be introduced in 2007.
The Mid-Norway region will have a yearly power deficiency of about
7 TWh in a few years time with existing grid and electricity production
limitations. New power generation in the area will therefore aid
both in the general security of supply of electricity as well
as being essential in the case of electrification of on- and offshore
petroleum installations.
Statoil and Shell have established a joint project team to drive
the project forward commercially and technologically.
The project will need to pass important milestones and by the
end of this year (2006), it will have completed a feasibility
study of relevant technological and commercial issues. In parallel
the project will work in close co-operation with authorities and
industrial stakeholders that will gain from realisation of the
project. If everything goes according to plan, an investment decision
for an overall value chain will be taken towards the end of 2008.
Given a satisfactory commercial basis the main elements in the
value chain for energy and CO2 in mid-Norway
can be phased in during the period 2010-12.
There are few companies with a better starting point for collaboration
on this industrial model than Statoil and Shell. Statoil has been
a pioneer in CO2 storage for more than
10 years and is currently participating in three of the world’s
major industrial projects in this field. Shell’s merits
include over 30 years’ experience with the use of CO2
to enhance oil recovery in the USA and Canada.
This industrial model breaks new barriers and has inspired people
inside both of our companies to look for similar opportunities
world-wide. Stay tuned.
Policy Support System
for Carbon Capture and Storage
A New Tool for Looking into the Future of Belgium
By Kris Piessens, Royal Belgian Institute of
Natural Sciences, Geological Survey of Belgium
Anew project Policy Support System for Carbon
Capture and Storage (PSS-CCS) has been launched beginning 2006
after receiving funding for two years from the Belgian Science
Policy Office (BELSPO) under the research programme ‘Science
for a Sustainable Development’. Prior to this project, studies
on carbon capture and storage in Belgium were rather fragmented
in spite of the good level of expertise that existed at the four
institutes that have now joined forces.

The partners’ expertise covers the full chain from source
to sink. PSS-CCS combines the efforts of the Geological Survey
of Belgium (RBINS-GSB), the Flemish Institute for Technological
Research (VITO), the Faculté Polytechnique de Mons (FPMs)
and the University of Liège (ULg). The Dutch company Ecofys
completes the group as fifth partner.
The goal is to predict the growth of CCS activities in Belgium
between 2010 and 2050. In order to do so, we will use and refine
existing sink and source inventories, cost calculations, technology
curves, economic evaluation and optimization procedures, routing
functions, etc. Greenhouse Issues - June 2006 7 This largely existing
knowledge will serve as building blocks for a tool that will simulate
the growth of a CCS economy on national level in an organic way,
which boils down to judging potential CCS activities at project
level.
Such approach should lead to technically very sound results that
can equally be understood in a very direct and plain way by e.g.
policy makers. An illustration of how results may be presented
is given in figure 1, with an indication of how much CO2
emissions will likely be avoided because of CCS activities on
a yearly basis between 2010 and 2050. Note that it is not just
the intention to predict a single implementation curve, but also
the reliability of these results for a chosen future scenario.
The project does not only distinguish itself by the way results
will be presented. Also, it is unique in the way it reaches predictions
at national scale by making economic assessments at project level.
As such it will be able to simulate e.g. the effects of economic
and technical obstacles on the way to a large-scale and optimized
CCS economy.
In summary, whereas classical economic optimization simulators
will tell you how large the CCS economy potentially can become,
PSS-CCS will predict how large it will become.
Source Inventory and Technology
In order to make a correct simulation, the location
and technical characteristics of large and static CO2
producers should be known throughout the simulation period. Starting
point is a current inventory of sources. Existing facilities will
mainly be considered for post-combustion capture. The building
of new and the replacement of old facilities will also be integrated
in the simulator, taking into account the expected technological
development and corresponding increasing efficiencies. Special
attention will be given to the capture versus avoided paradox
and the loss of efficiency due to CO2-capture.
Figure 1: An example of the applied way which
it will be possible to present simulation results. The vertical
axis shows the yearly amount of CO2 emissions
that are avoided because of CCS activities, given a certain scenario.
Specific attention will go to the planned phasing
out of nuclear energy in Belgium, requiring on relatively short
term the replacement of existing power plants by other low-emission
alternatives.
Routing Code
A routing code will be developed that will allow
to efficiently calculate the transport costs by pipeline from
source to sink. A particularity of this code is that it only needs
one point, either the start or end of a transport route, and not
both. The calculation will determine the least-cost routes in
a single routing calculation to the selected point from any other
point on the grid. This significantly limits the number calculations
that need to be performed compared to the classical two-point
approach.
The algorithm starts from a parameter grid with a relative indication
of the construction cost for pipelines in a certain grid cell.
Costs will for example be high in densely populated areas. Calculation
for single sink-source matches without booster stations is straightforward,
while more complex situations (up to multiple sinks and sources
with optional boosters) require an iterative approach to reach
the required level of accuracy.
Also essential is that the benefits of a fully developed network
of CO2 sources and sinks, opposed to
many individual projects, can be taken into account. This will
be done by an optimisation procedure that will assume that connecting
sinks and sources in later years to pipelines simulated in early
years is part of long term network planning. This part of the
routing topic forms part of the economic evaluation.
Sink Inventory and Assessment
Belgium has no history of oil or gas production.
Potential geological sinks are therefore limited to aquifers,
coal beds (ECBM) and possibly coalmines. For Flanders the existing
inventory needs to be updated. For the southern Walloon region
no sink inventory currently exists and will therefore need to
be set up in the course of this project.

Figure 2: If uncertainties are included in
the cost and profit calculations for a specific project, then
the result is a distribution that gives the expected average profit
and the risk on loss. An economic evaluation will judge if the
expected profit is high enough compared to the risk of investing
in a certain CCS project.
Reservoirs will be assessed by comparing their
known suitability to the completeness and reliability of data.
This will be quantified by making weighed sums of relevant parameters.
The uncertain geotechnical aspects of currently insufficiently
explored reservoirs are a major source of uncertainty in the simulations.
To a large degree, these can be dealt with by the robust economic
evaluation techniques used by the simulator. Excessive uncertainties
will be compensated by user intervention at the scenario level.
These decisive interventions will highlight geological research
priorities for parallel or future projects.
Cost Calculation and Economic Evaluation
As it is evident that CCS activities will only
become significant if they prove to be economically viable, we
have opted to simulate CCS as an economic activity, not as a mitigation
option for CO2. This allows linking the
cost calculations, of which the basics have been lead down in
other projects, to economic evaluations that basically compare
the expected average profit to the risk of the investment (figure
2). This requires running Monte-Carlo simulations at project level.
Monte-Carlo will also be used at scenario scale to determine the
uncertainty on the predictions of the growing CCS economy (figure
1).
Scenario Definition
Large uncertainties on critical parameters are
problematic for any prediction or simulation. Although the PSS-CCS
simulator is in this regard a very robust tool, the uncertainties
posed by e.g. the market price of CO2
in an unclear post-Kyoto future are very large, as even overall
reduction targets are as yet undecided. Also the national debate
on the future energy portfolio will influence the value of CO2.
In order to reach meaningful results, simulations will be run
for probably five to ten different future scenarios. This will
limit the uncertainty on the economic input parameters of the
simulator to levels that can be handled. Defining the scenarios
will require close interaction with different groups of stakeholders,
because the views of all relevant actors in society need to be
included to reach acceptance on the outcome.
As a result, simulation will not produce one single implementation
curve as shown in figure 1, but several curves, each linked to
a given scenario that by the user can be judged as more or less
relevant.
Project Planning
The outlines of the project architecture have
been established and a first version of the PSS-CCS simulator
demonstrating the basic approach and principles will be ready
later this year. A fully operational version should be ready by
the summer of 2007. Sink and source inventories are being established
this year, while detailed geotechnical and technological assessments
regarding these data will be made during 2007. New information
and announcements will first become available at the PSS-CCS website
at www.naturalsciences.be/PSS-CCS.
Reactions and questions can be addressed to Kris.Piessens@naturalsciences.be.
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Underground Storage of
CO2 as a Liquid and Solid Hydrate
By Christopher Rochelle and Ammena Camps
Current CO2 storage
methods typically involve emplacement in warm (>31_C) aquifer
rocks at depths in excess of 800m, where CO2
is in a supercritical (fluid) phase. However, there is another
potential approach involving the underground storage of CO2
as both a liquid and associated solid hydrate. To scope the potential
of this approach a theoretical feasibility study has been undertaken
at the British Geological Survey/University of Leicester, mapping
areas offshore Western Europe where suitable conditions may exist.
Within deep-water sediments, or below permafrost regions, pressures
may be similar to those in a conventional deep aquifer storage
system, but temperatures may be much lower. Under these conditions
the stable phase of CO2 is likely to
be a liquid, which can have a higher density than supercritical
CO2, requiring less volume to store the
same weight of CO2, and reducing buoyancy
forces driving vertical migration. Cooler temperatures could also
increase its viscosity, hence, slowing any possible migration.
All Greenhouse Issues - June 2006 9 these factors would be beneficial
for long-term containment.

Figure 1: Predicted carbon dioxide hydrate
thickness (in metres) offshore Western Europe. N.B. The Mediterranean
Sea has not been included as part of this study.
At sufficiently low temperatures and high pressures (typically
< 10_C and hydrostatic heads >400m), CO2
hydrate becomes stable. This ice-like phase can precipitate rapidly
and may have the potential to store large quantities of CO2.
If liquid CO2 were injected into sediments
just below the hydrate stability zone, slow buoyancy-driven ascent
into cooler formations could lead to the formation of a hydrate
‘cap’ above the liquid CO2.
This hydrate ‘cap’ could aid the sealing of any natural
cap-rock. The formation of CO2 hydrate
could also be a useful secondary trapping mechanism should CO2
migrate into cool deep-water sediments from deeply stored supercritical
CO2.
It is important to investigate the potential importance of CO2
hydrate formation and to determine areas where it may be stable.
A preliminary theoretical study has been undertaken to map CO2
hydrate stability zones offshore Western Europe. Initial results
predict CO2 hydrate stability over large
areas with the base of the hydrate stability zone reaching a depth
of up to about 450m below the ocean floor (see figure), indicating
good potential for the formation of a thick ‘cap’
of CO2 hydrate above a deeper store of
liquid CO2.
Work is ongoing to refine predictions of both CO2
and methane hydrate stability in offshore sediments and to quantify
uncertainties in the data, especially relating to local variability
in the geothermal gradient. Research is also being conducted to
understand the relationships between sediments and CO2
hydrate at the pore scale. Both of these approaches are aimed
at assessing the benefits of this ‘cool storage’ approach
for the long-term containment of CO2
underground.
For further information please contact Ameena Camps (BGS/University
of Leicester) at apcamps@bgs.ac.uk,
or Christopher Rochelle (BGS) at caro@bgs.ac.uk
RWE Announces Development
and Implementation
of Zero-CO2 Coal-Based Power Generation
By Johannes Heithoff
RWE is vigorously pressing ahead with technological
developments toward a zero-CO2 power
plant. RWE’s aim is to commission a zero-CO2
power plant with a capacity of between 400 MWto 450MWin the year
2014. In parallel, RWE will further develop CO2
scrubbing as a separation technology for flue gases. The estimated
costs of a power plant and of transportation and storage of CO2
could total just under € 1 billion. The goal of this future-geared
major project is to step up climate-sparing coal-based power generation.
RWE is in a particularly good position to do so, since RWE Power
is the only Company to have power plant and gasification know-how
and, in RWE Dea, to have in-house basic know-how in CO2
storage.
Ambitious Time Schedule
Swift implementation by 2014 requires the parallel
development of a power plant and a CO2 storage facility (see figure
below).
Effective Combination of Gas and Steam Turbine
Among all the zero-CO2
power plant technology options, the so-called integrated gasification
combined cycle (IGCC), i.e. coal gasification plus CO2
capture, is the only technology that can already be implemented
on a large scale today.

Zero-CO2 power plant,
the centre piece of ecological modernisation
In this process, coal is first converted into raw gas using a
gasifier. After H2S scrubbing, the CO2
shift reaction takes place: CO + H2O
_ CO2 + H2.
Next, the main components CO2 and hydrogen
are separated. The hydrogen is then combusted in a gas turbine,
while a downstream heat recovery steam generator makes steam for
a steam turbine. Both turbines drive separate generators in which
electricity is produced.
All the same, we remain realistic as regards the expectations
pinned on a zero-CO2 power plant. Even
if we succeed in commissioning a first commercial-scale zero-CO2
power station around the middle of the next decade, dissemination
of this technology will take a few decades if only because of
the long investment cycles in the power plant sector.
The time schedule involved in implementing
the power plant by 2014

Schematic if the IGCC process neede for the
zero-CO2 power plant.
Hydrogen as a Universal Energy Source
Irrespective of the power plant process, hydrogen
can be separated after gas treatment and cleaning. It is directly
available as an energy source for stationary or mobile applications
and can be used to synthesize liquid fuels.
CO2 Scrubbing - Development
Steps
In parallel with the IGCC power plant, RWE will
further develop CO2 scrubbing. The aim
is to have available soon CO2 scrubbing
for new and recently built power stations. To further develop
facilities and scrubbing solutions, it is planned to cooperate
with partners from plant builders and the chemical industry. Trialling
is then in Germany at one of the lignite-fired power plants in
two steps:
- by 2008: implementation of a pilot project for CO2 scrubbing
- after 2009: planning, erection and operation of a demonstration
plant
Prerequisite for a Zero-CO2 Power Plant
For the zero-CO2 power
station planned by RWE, CO2 storage in
former gas deposits, but also in deep aquifers (salt-water-filled
Greenhouse Issues - June 2006 11 CO2
storage schematic spaces in sedimentary rock), is being developed
and its feasibility checked in parallel with power plant technology.
The development of power plant and storage facility is inseparably
linked. RWE is proposing to develop the entire process chain –
from power generation via transportation by pipeline all the way
to storage – on an industrial scale.

CO2 storage schematic
With the technology for a zero-CO2 coal-based
power plant, Germany is in a position to gain technology leadership,
tap important export potentials for our manufacturing industry
and secure jobs in the domestic economy.
In parallel to the solution of technical issues, there are standards
and legal bases for storing CO2 to be
created – this is where politicians are called upon to generate
innovation-friendly conditions for Germany as an industrial location.
The potential in suitable underground storage facilities for injecting
carbon dioxide, as roughly estimated by the Federal Institute
for Geosciences and Natural Resources (BGR), is in a bandwidth
between 23 billion and 43 billion t in Germany. That means: with
an assumed average value of 33 billion t, these facilities could
absorb the CO2 emissions of the German
power plant population for a period of some 80 years.
Launch of the DYNAMIS
Project - EUWorking Toward the Realisation of HYPOGEN Plant
The European Union kicked-off the DYNAMIS Project
under the HYPOGEN initiative; wherein the main objective of which
is to bring forward the Hydrogen Economy. This project signals
the start of EU’s efforts to generate fossil-based electricity
and hydrogen incorporating CO2 capture
and storage.
SINTEF Energy Research was given the responsibility
of coordinating the DYNAMIS project which involves 30 partners
from 12 European nations. Out of the 30 partners, this includes
14 RTD partners, 7 technology providers, 8 energy providers and
1 financial institution. The IEA Greenhouse Gas R&D Programme
is actively participating to this project. The total budget of
this project is € 7.4 million, from which, € 4 million
is funded by the European Commission.
The DYNAMIS project aims to be completed within
three years and will evaluate, among other aspects, where this
unique plant should be built, and which technology should be utilised.
In the objectives of the DYNAMIS project, five
topic areas have been identified and these include:
- De-carbonisation of fossil fuels
- Hydrogen separation
- New Power Cycles
- Reliable Storage of CO2
- Societal anchorage of a HYPOGEN Demonstration Plant
Under these topical areas, the following research related sub-projects
will be undertaken:
- Evaluation of power plant and capture technologies
- Product gas handling (H2 and CO2),
and
- Planning and pre-engineering of plants
- Storage of CO2
- Public acceptance issues and other legal framework
Figure 1 shows an overview of the sub-projects involved in DYNAMIS
and how they are connected.

Figure 1:Overview of sub-projects in DYNAMIS,
and how they are connected.
In the DYNAMIS project, the following specifications were given
for the HYPOGEN plant:
- DYNAMIS project, the following specifications were given for
the HYPOGEN plant
- Power output in the range of 400MW class, including a hydrogen
powered gas turbine
- Hydrogen production corresponding to 25MW lower heating value
with a quality corresponding to specifications of the European
infrastructure.
- The plant will aim at 90% CO2 capture
rate
- 50% capture cost reduction from a current level of 50 –
60 € / ton of CO2.
As an outcome, the DYNAMIS project will provide a roadmap for
the construction of the HYPOGEN plant on technical, economic and
societal terms – including how permits can be obtained,
how funding can be syndicated, and how a HYPOGEN plant could be
generally anchored in the context of public acceptance.
For further information, you can contact Nils Anders Røkke
(Nils.A.Rokke@sintef.no)
of SINTEF Energy Research.
International Symposium
on Site Characterization for CO2 Geological
Storage (CO2SC)
By Jens Birkholzer, LBNL
The International Symposium on Site Characterization
for CO2 Geological Storage (CO2SC)
was held on March, 20-23, 2006, in Berkeley, California, hosted
by the Lawrence Berkeley National Laboratory (LBNL). The symposium
was sponsored by the U.S. Environmental Protection Agency (EPA)
and co-sponsored by IAH, AIH, GWPC, and IAHR.
For detailed information regarding the symposium, go to: www-esd.lbl.gov/CO2SC
The proceedings book of extended abstracts as well as most of
the oral presentations are available for download at this website.
Furthermore, selected symposium papers plus a summary discussion
paper, after updates and peer review, will be published early
next year in a special issue of the Journal of Environmental Geology.
More than 150 participants from 13 countries—representing
academia, industry, governmental agencies and NGO’s—attended
the about 60 oral presentations during the first three symposium
days. An additional 30 papers were presented in an extended poster
session, supported by several laptop computer demonstrations.
The presentations were followed on the fourth day by a technical
visit to an underground gas storage site in the area.
The symposium was opened with two keynote speeches: Dr. Steven
Chu, Nobel Laureate and Director of the Lawrence Berkeley National
Laboratory, spoke about the necessity of carbon sequestration
as one important remedy to stabilize or reduce atmospheric concentrations
of greenhouse gases. Peter Cook of CO2CRC
in Australia emphasized the crucial role of site selection and
site characterization for successful geological storage of CO2,
and illustrated the complexity of this task with various examples.
The presentations and discussions following the keynotes covered
a wide range of site characterization aspects, categorized into
eight topical sessions. In the first session, presenters discussed
the General Framework for site selection and characterization,
trying to identify key site features and develop a strategic roadmap.
Various domestic and international examples of Regional-Scale
Site Selection as well as Site Characterization Case Studies were
presented in the next two sessions, comprising more than 25 past,
ongoing, and future storage projects in Germany, Denmark, Spain,
France, the Netherlands, Australia, India, Canada, and the U.S.
Pilot projects form a very important base of experience for future
storage sites, and will contribute to the development of a best-practices
portfolio.
Innovative measurement and monitoring approaches were the topic
of a session entitled Site Characterization Methods, with the
focus on geophysical and hydrological methods for assessing the
capacity of storage reservoirs and evaluating the effectiveness
of sealing caprocks. Another session was on Screening and Characterization
Tools, which included GIS-based models and computer-aided screening
methods to allow for a quick and reliable selection of alternative
storage options.
The possibility of CO2 Leakage From Storage
Formations was discussed in 11 technical papers, focusing on faults
and wells as potential leakage paths. Possible effects on the
environment (e.g., human health, groundwater resources) were analyzed
and implications for site characterization (e.g., specific data
needs) were evaluated. Our current scientific understanding of
hydrological, geomechanical, and geochemical processes involved
in CO2 geological storagewas presented
in a 13-paper session titled Fundamental Processes and Technical
Issues. Finally, a short session focused on Regulatory and Social
Issues, which, among others, included a presentation on EPA’s
current thinking on the permitting and characterization of CO2
storage sites.
The final agenda item of the symposium was a panel discussion
led by LBNL’s Sally Benson, with the objective of extracting
a set of recommendations for site characterization. Panel members,
which included Stefan Bachu from the Alberta Energy and Utilities
Board, Robert Finley from the Illinois State Geological Survey,
Fred Molz from Clemson University, Lynn Orr from Stanford University,
and John Tombari from Schlumberger, each gave a short summary
presentation, highlighting their own personal view on site characterization
strategies and needs, followed by a lively Q&A session with
the audience.
Carbon Management in
Saudi Arabia
From May 22-24th 2006 the First regional Symposium
on Carbon Management was hosted by Saudi Aramco in Dhahran, Saudi
Arabia. Experts from around the world assembled at the invitation
of Saudi Aramco to discuss carbon management issues.
In his opening speech, Saudi Aramco’s President and CEO,
Abdallah S Jum’ah recognised the need for the oil industry
to play an active role in carbon management by balancing sensible
economics and environmental acceptability. Mr Jum’ah said
that there was a need to reduce fossil fuel’s environmental
footprint
Participants discussed:
- The regulatory, environmental and economic aspects of carbon
management
- The latest advances in technologies targeting carbon dioxide
capture from fixed and mobile sources
- Carbon dioxide sequestration and its greater utilization in
Enhanced Oil and Gas Recovery (EOR & EGR
Through these and other special topics, keynote
speeches and panel discussions, the symposium aimed to focus on
leveraging these interactions to formulate a common vision and
path forward for the petroleum industry to address carbon management
challenges and to convert carbon dioxide emissions concerns into
opportunities.
The symposium was wide ranging, covering CO2
capture and storage issues not only in the oil and gas industry
but also from power generation, transport, and other industries.
The papers and presentations will be posted on the website at:
www.co2management.org

Saudi Aramco's President and CEO, Mr Abdallah
S Jum'ah being interviewed by the press at the symposium.

Mark Northan who formally represented Mobil
at IEA GHG ExCo meetings now works for Saudi Aramco. He is pictured
here amongst the sand dunes surrounding the Shaybah oil and gas
complex.
At the conclusion of the symposium, Saudi Aramco
provided the opportunity for delegates to visit the Shaybah oil
field which is in the south-east of the country bordering the
United Arab Emirates. The Shaybah complex comprises 3 gas/oil
separation plants and a 630 km pipeline connects the field to
the gathering centre at Abqaiq.
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